10 replies to this topic

[grante28]

HI I just recently noticed that when attacking many different people on the ladder of my last 10 attacks only 2 have not been deflected. That's a deflect rate of 80%!!! The maximum level of deflect that anyone could have is 43.75%! The current deflect rate that I'm getting is almost double what I actually should be seeing. Now I realize that it is kind of random which is why I waited to post this until I had done more attacks. It seems to me as perhaps something is wrong with the actual percentage or something should be done to make the percentage more fair for each person. Any comments would be great so long as they aren't to negative or if they try and bash me! Thanks

[mimdala]

Is deflect a higher percentage than it should be? Well heck, I hope so! jk

Seriously though, someone did post not too long ago (was it hbklives?) that deflect seemed to be kicking in more often than it should.

[rebtex]

All I know is every time I've calculated percentages of deflects it has ALWAYS been higher than it should be, usually by a large margin. But remember this is possible with anything randomly chanced, no matter how incredibly unlikely.

[grante28]

Maybe HCS should really look into this then as it seems to be a re-occurring problem. It is kind of ridiculous when the percentage I'm coming up with is almost double what it should be. Ill keep track of every time I hit and miss and maybe that will help me come up with a better percentage.

[evilbry]

you need a higher sample size. there will always be fluctuations, which is down to the was an RNG works. if you had maybe 5000 combats it would give you a better idea of how close deflect is to the advertised rate.

[rebtex]

you need a higher sample size. there will always be fluctuations, which is down to the was an RNG works. if you had maybe 5000 combats it would give you a better idea of how close deflect is to the advertised rate.

FS Mythbusters anyone?

[grante28]

I realize that a higher sample size is needed but honestly if I'm not the only one who is seeing this then there has to be at least some truth to it.

[evilbry]

I realize that a higher sample size is needed but honestly if I'm not the only one who is seeing this then there has to be at least some truth to it.

people always remember the bad experiences but don't care to remember the good experiences which would even them out. You see people complain about bad runs with deflect, but you never see them talk of "I done xx straight hits without a deflect!".

[grante28]

Just a quick little update as I have been keeping track. Right now I have 14 deflected attacks on 16 total attempt. That is 87.5% success rate ATM. By the way if anyone is wondering I have been keeping track of every time I attack a person with deflect on and since I have been keeping an eye on this I also check each time to see if a player has deflect. I have also had 4 attacks in a row deflected from the same person and even he agrees that deflect has to be a way higher percentage than it is supposed to be. COULD HCS PLEASE LOOK INTO THIS!!!

[koenvdv]

Just a quick little update as I have been keeping track. Right now I have 14 deflected attacks on 16 total attempt. That is 87.5% success rate ATM.

The chance of this to happen is 0,04%. Statisticly this is verry low. Keep counting, the more data you get the more accurate the results are.

I have also had 4 attacks in a row deflected from the same person and even he agrees that deflect has to be a way higher percentage than it is supposed to be.

The chance of this to happen is 3,66%. This is still quiete possible. Altough I had 6 times in a row once ... the chance of that to happen is 0,70%.


Keep counting, the more data you collect, the more proof it will give that the real percentage is or isn't 43,75%

[hbklives]

Is deflect a higher percentage than it should be? Well heck, I hope so! jk

Seriously though, someone did post not too long ago (was it hbklives?) that deflect seemed to be kicking in more often than it should.

I'm slow on the uptake.. But yeah. I had 21 deflected hits out of 30. Needless to say, I was a bit peeved.